Quick reminder: This email goes out every morning by 8a (eastern). If you don’t have it by then, something is going on with the service. If anything looks weird on your end, please email me directly at plundertheunder@gmail.com

Big ol’ list of plays today for a full slate. Before we get rolling I wanna point a couple things out …

Had to change the wOBA column to slugging percentage. Data source I used changed their layout, so I had to pivot.

Recent question from a subscriber …

Q: Do you play everything listed in the email?

A: Not always.

This list is what I consider an “overhead view” of the plays that pass my Pitch Mix threshold and are at the very least worth consideration. That said, some things depend on if there are decent odds being offered by the books. Another simple reality is bankroll management. Some days it just doesn’t make sense to have a billion units in play, so I scale back a little.

Also, I’ve been dabbling lately with additional markets like singles, walks, runs scored, etc. So I’m not always married to just H+R+R and total bases markets (and neither should you). So for example sometimes the H+R+R is just too juicy … so instead I’ll play have some expose to total bases and singles. That way we’re still covered on a few options (while we hope for a home run to break things open). When you see value, exploit that value!

As always … if you ever have questions don’t hesitate to ask.

Let’s get into the plays for Tuesday, August 12th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

• Jarren Duran (BOS) vs. Spencer Arrigheti [GRADE: A]

Duran has been hot and Arrigheti has yet to find his mojo since returning from injury. H+R+R will likely be juicy, so could be a spot for TB and singles markets

TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (1u), HR (0.3u)

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

• Nick Kurtz (ATH) vs. Shane Baz [GRADE: A-]

Kurtz back for another tour of duty. Probably another situation where we look at singles and TB.

TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (1u), HR (0.2-0.3u)

OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!