Drunk Sunday Plundering
Am I ACTUALLY drunk while writing this? Maybe! Or maybe I’m “just drunk enough to nail all these plays!”
Quick reminder: This email goes out every morning by 8a (eastern). If you don’t have it by then, something is going on with the service. If anything looks weird on your end, please email me directly at plundertheunder@gmail.com
Am I ACTUALLY drunk while writing this? Maybe! Or maybe I’m “just drunk enough to nail all these plays!”
Or maybe I’m totally sober and playing it up for effect. I guess only I will truly know.
Reminder … today is Sunday. Rest day for many. Check lineups for all wagers so ya don’t get screwed!
Let’s jump into the plays for Sunday, April 6th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.
✅ TOP PICKS ✅
Aaron Judge (NYY) vs. Andrew Heaney [GRADE: A]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | OPS | ISO | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21-73 | .288 | .471 | 1.252 | .356 | 67.39% |
Rise it again! An “expert” opinion is to just ride a Judge hot hand till it’s done. Very very VERY “expert” opinion. Do NOT try such advanced metrics at home! 😂
TARGET MARKETS: TB (1u), HR (0.3u), BB (0.3u), hit parlays
Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage. Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value.
Rafael Devers (BOS) vs. Miles Mikolas [GRADE: A-]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | OPS | ISO | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
45-149 | .302 | .468 | 1.191 | 423 | 59.60% |
Raffy was terrible to start the season but the last few games have looked very solid. As a Sox fan I watch most of their games and I’m comfortable going here.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (max 1u), HR (0.25), hit parlays
💰 THE RECAP 💰
These are all of our picks from Friday, April 4 …
✅ Kerry Carpenter: 2-5, 2 HR, 2 RBI, 2 runs
✅ Bobby Witt, Jr.: 1-4, 2 runs, BB
✅ Alec Burleson: 3-4, run
✅ Ketel Marte: 1-1, double … had to leave because of injury but still giving him the green for the TB cash
✅ Pavin Smith / Josh Naylor: 1-3 (Smith), 1-4, RBI (Naylor) … Smith ain’t a cash but we went Naylor in our plays so we feel good.
✅ Kameron Misner: 1-4, double, run
Well that works … sweep dat shit!
OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!
Hey … look at you … you survived the paywall guillotine! Thanks for being awesome!
✅ THE NEXT TIER ✅
Brandon Lowe (TB) vs. Kumar Rocker [GRADE: A-]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | OPS | ISO | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4-7 | .571 | .681 | 1.571 | .429 | 60% |
Rocker was horrible in his first outing and I feel like he’s in for a bumpy start. Lowe numbers are VERY small sample from this year, but we like what we see.
Oneil Crus (PIT) vs. Will Warren [GRADE: B+]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | OPS | ISO | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
62-183 | .339 | .394 | .945 | .213 | 55.47% |
Good 2024 numbers here and Warren wasn’t great his first start.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (up to 0.75), HR (0.2u lotto)
Sal Perez (KC) vs. Cade Povich [GRADE: B+/B]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | OPS | ISO | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27-83 | .325 | .382 | .898 | .205 | 41.79 |
Sal Perez feels like he’s 247 years old but he’s still good at baseball.
TARGET MARKETS: TB (0.5u-0.6u)
Nico Hoerner (CHC) / Luis Arraez (SD) vs. pitcher people [GRADE: B]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | OPS | ISO | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71-195 | .364 | .365 | .843 | .082 | 21.36% |
Above numbers are for Arraez. Hoerner good too. Just likely going for a singles parlay here.
TARGET MARKETS: singles parlay of the two (0.75u)
Ivan Herrera vs. Sean Newcomb [GRADE: B]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | OPS | ISO | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
37-101 | .366 | .415 | .992 | .178 | 42.35% |
Don’t love picking a random catcher two days in a row but the numbers are there. Worth a couple bucks.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (max 0.5u), HR (0.15u)
That’s all for today … Let’s go get some GREEN!