Crossing the Finish Line
Final week of the regular season!
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Final week of the regular season! Not gonna lie … I’m kinda thrilled to not have the everyday grind of the season. I’ll still have plays for the postseason, but the slates get way smaller to preserve my sanity. Full disclosure … today’s plays suck. Only 3 games on the slate and not a lot I like. Totally a fade-worthy day. No paywall today. All plays are here.
Let’s jump into the plays for Monday, September 22nd. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.
✅ TOP PICKS ✅
Jake Bauers (MIL) vs. Nick Pivetta [GRADE: B+/B]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-26 | .462 | .489 | .308 | 95.8 | 59.09% |
Pivetta a decent pitcher, so I kick the grade down some here.
TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (0.7u), HR (0.2-0.3u)
Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more
Ha-Seong Kim vs. Mackenzie Gore [GRADE: B+/B]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6-10 | .600 | .593 | .400 | 89.7 | 50% |
Another case of a decent pitcher, but the numbers are there and Kim is batting .346 this worth. Worth noting Marcell Ozuna has a great BvP against Gore, but is cold this week.
TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (0.7u), HR (0.2-0.3u)
Casey Schmitt (SF) vs. Michael McGreevy [GRADE: B]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-29 | .345 | .384 | .276 | 92.7 | 52.17% |
Solid numbers, but Schmitt is cold this week too.
TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (0.5u), HR (0.2u)
That’s all for now … Let’s go get some GREEN!