Cinco de No Stinko
All we can do is move onward and upward … so let’s do exactly that!
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Good grief the last few days of the Pitch Mix Picks has been TERRIBLE. I’m one to always try to stay positive to ride the waves because it’s all about long term success, but man this weekend SUCKED. All we can do is move onward and upward … so let’s do exactly that!
Let’s jump into the plays for Monday, May 5th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.
✅ TOP PICKS ✅
Freddie Freeman (LAD) vs. Sandy Alcantara [GRADE: A]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15-32 | .469 | .500 | .406 | 95.3 | 51.85% |
Today’s list is actually pretty small. It’s a smaller slate, and a lot of the pitching matches worth targeting are paired up with teams who haven’t been hitting worth a damn. So I’m not gonna force anything and just grab the plays that fit the numbers. Freeman continues to set up his Vegas Residency in this email.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3-0.5u with promos and boosts), hit parlays, H+R+R parlays
Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more
Kyle Tucker (CHC) vs. Landon Roupp [GRADE: B+]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4-15 | .267 | .387 | .400 | 94.6 | 50% |
Average is down because Tucker had a rough cold patch that he is FINALLY coming out of. We’re here for the rebound! (Oh and in case you noticed, yes I’ve added Exit Velocity to the table of stats)
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.75u-1u), HR (0.3u-0.5u), hit parlays, H+R+R parlays
💰 THE RECAP 💰
These are all of our picks from Saturday, May 3 …
❌ Anthony Volpe: 0-3
✅ Aaron Judge: 2-4, HR, RBI, run
✅ Riley Greene: 1-4, run
❌ Sean Murphy: 0-5
❌ Corbin Carroll: 0-3
✅ Gavin Lux: 1-5, triple
❌ Ceddanne Rafaela: 1-4
✅ Jarren Duran: 2-5, RBI, 2 runs
✅ Raffy Devers: 3-5, 2 RBI
Not a complete wash but not great either.
OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!