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July 5, 2025

Laying the Wood

Full slate of action and a bunch of plays for your holiday weekend.

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Full slate of action and a bunch of plays for your holiday weekend.

Let’s dive into the plays for Saturday, July 5th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

  • James Wood (WSH) vs. Walker Buehler [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

12-19

.632

.837

.947!

98.6

63.64%

Walker Buehler continues to stink. Meanwhile James Wood is batting .585 so far in July. Let’s GO!

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3u-0.5u)

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

  • Ketel Marte / Josh Naylor / Eugenio Suarez v. Michael Macha [GRADE: A-]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

14-31

.452

.524

.419

88.4

29.17%

All three match up well against Wacha. Marte’s Hard Hit numbers are off here, but everything else looks good. The order is probably Naylor, Suarez, then Marte, but all three worth consideration.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7u-1u), HR (0.25u)


OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!

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