Buehler ... Buehler ... Buehler?
Quick observation for today … the numbers look good, but the players are all kinda mid-level talent.
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Quick observation for today … the numbers look good, but the players are all kinda mid-level talent. I find it best to not go crazy on days like this and monitor your bankroll and exposure. Sure, Rowdy Tellez may go off, but he also may go 0-4 with 4 K’s and eat a whole ham after the game.
Let’s get into the plays for Wednesday, August 13th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.
✅ TOP PICKS ✅
Carlos Correa (HOU) vs. Walker Buehler [GRADE: A-]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18-50 | .360 | .361 | .120 | 92.8 | 51.16% |
Full disclosure … I’m a Sox fan and they need this win so I’ll be open rooting against this. That said, Buehler sucks. Power numbers are off some here, so HRR/singles may be the play.
TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (1u), HR (0.2u)
Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more
Luke Keaschall (MIN) vs. Cam Schlitter [GRADE: B+/A-]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13-30 | .433 | .733 | .300 | 93.8 | 54.17% |
Small sample because he’s just back from injury, but Keaschall has been on a tear (and picked right up where he left off before the injury).
TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (0.7u), HR (0.2-0.3u)
OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!