An Annoying Return
Welcome back (sorta)
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Welcome back (sorta). I say this because while I put this list together there are TONS of unannounced pitchers and some of the stat systems I use are being all wonky as well. It’s also the first day back after 5 days off, so who knows if that leaves players feeling refreshed and ready to roll or rusty and out of rhythm.
So what I’m going to do for today is send ALL the plays to both free and premium, though there’s only a handful of them so far anyway. Plus data is incomplete on others, so I’m just gonna share everything and may have so more players later this morning (or we will just start back in super light for a day and go from there).
Let’s dive into the plays for Friday, July 18th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.
✅ TOP PICKS ✅
Willi Castro / Harrison Bader (MIN) vs. Kyle Freeland [GRADE: A-]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14-23 | .609 | .696 | .696 | 95.8 | 68.18% |
L60 numbers listed for Castro which are very strong. Also, Bader is 4-7 (.571) against Freeland. And the game is at Coors.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3u)
Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more
Luis Arraez (SD) vs. Michael Soroka [GRADE: B+/B]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-24 | .417 | .443 | .208 | 89.4 | 33.33% |
Low power numbers like always nd only 2 XBH of the 10, but the average is solid.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB/singles (0.7-1u), HR (0.2u)
Brendan Donovan (STL) maybe?
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
???? |
Brandon Pfaadt is maybe pitching for the D-Backs abd Donovan is 407 (.571) against him and he’s had issues with lefties. That said, my stat resources are jacked up and I can’t get full data on him yet, so this pick is up in the air for now.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7-1u), HR (0.25u)
That’s all I got for right now. Maybe more later today. Should be back to a full list tomorrow regardless.