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July 13, 2025

Break It On Down

Last day before the All Star Break!

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Last day before the All Star Break! Next week I’m hoping to break down some of our season-long results so far (though I’m also going on vacation for a few days so I might just be drunk instead). Modest slate of plays today … there’s a lot of solid pitchers going. Here’s to a GREEN day!

Let’s dive into the plays for Sunday, July 13th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

  • PCA / Michael Busch / Kyle Tucker (ATL) vs. Will Warren [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

13-37

.351

.467

.405

92.2

54.8%

Typically if one of these guys show up, they all show up. Warren has been weaker against lefties all season.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3u)

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

  • Bo Bichette (TOR) vs. Jeffrey Springs [GRADE: A-]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

5-14

.357

.420

.286

93.1

53.6%

Another hitter friendly day in Sacramento.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7-1u), HR (0.3u)


OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!

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