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Let’s dive into the plays for Saturday, July 12th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

• Ronald Acuña and the Gang (ATL) vs. Erick Fedde [GRADE: A-]

It seems fitting to feature a dystopian novel in today’s email, because most Braves fans feel like they are trapped in some sort of evil alternate universe this season. Acuña’s Pitch Mix numbers are the strongest (listed above), but Marcel Ozuna, Austin Riley and Michael Harris all have great BvP numbers against Fedde, but less ideal Pitch Mix numbers (because the whole team has sucked). Might just be worth taking the Braves team over instead of trying to guess which player breaks out.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3u)

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

• Juan Soto / Brett Baty (NYM) vs. Michael Lorenzen [GRADE: A-]

Soto keeps hanging around like you’re cousin that doesn’t wanna leave your house. Baty’s numbers not quite as good, but worth a look, especially if we can get a good H+R+R line.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7-1u), HR (0.3u)

OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!