Plunder's Pitch Mix Picks

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August 28, 2025

The Master Bader

Short slate today (that’s what she said).

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Short slate today (that’s what she said).

Let’s get into the plays for Thursday, August 28th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

  • Harrison Bader / Trea Turner vs. Cal Quantrill [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

10-20

.500

.479

.250

93.2

72.22%

I’m expecting a high scoring game here from both sides, so even just taking the over in this one is a worthwhile consideration. Bader and Turner have the best Pitch Mix numbers. Worth noting that Marsh and Bohm have strong numbers against Quantrill (Bader and Turner do too).

TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (1.0u), HR (0.2-0.3u)

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

  • Ronald Acuña (ATL) vs. Aaron Nola [GRADE: B+]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

I don’t have Pitch Mix numbers to support this one because Acuña hasn’t found his groove since returning from injury. That said he’s 20-55 (.364) with 4 HR off Nola and I do expect some runs to be scored in this one.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB/singles/runs (0.7u-1u), HR (0.2-0.3u)


OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!

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