A Cannon(long)ball Run
Free Everything Week continues! Reminder … we’re running a post-All Star special of only $40 for the rest of the season. It’s a deal dammit!.
Quick reminder: This email goes out every morning by 8a (eastern). If you don’t have it by then, something is going on with the service. If anything looks weird on your end, please email me directly at plundertheunder@gmail.com
Free Everything Week continues! Reminder … we’re running a post-All Star special of only $40 for the rest of the season. It’s a deal dammit!. SIGN UP NOW
Let’s dive into the plays for Wednesday, July 23rd. NOTE: Stats listed are L30 unless otherwise noted and are for the first player listed (if there’s more than one).
✅ TOP PICKS ✅
Jonathan Aranda (TB) vs. Jonathan Cannon [GRADE: A-]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14-44 | .318 | .380 | .250 | 94.5 | 62.8% |
Fire up the Cannons for the “Battle of the Jonathans!” Here’s to the one with the bat defeating the one who is a typically crappy pitcher.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3u)
Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more
Mike Trout / Taylor Ward (LAA) vs. Sean Manaea [GRADE: A-]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5-13 | .385 | .386 | .308 | 94.2 | 37.5% |
Manaea has been OK in his two starts this season, but it’s only two starts. Plus, Trout is .429 in his career against him with 3 HRs.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7-1u), HR (0.2-0.3u)
Will Smith (LAD) vs. Chris Paddack [GRADE: A-]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8-20 | .400 | .466 | .450 | 90.7 | 50% |
Smith has been on a bit of a heater this week, and here’s another nice matchup.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7-1u), HR (0.2-0.3u)
Wenceel Perez (DET) vs. Bailey Falter [GRADE: B+]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5-13 | .385 | .467 | .538 | 97.2 | 63.64% |
L60 numbers here to bump the sample size a little, but they’re strong even in the small sample.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7u), HR (0.25u)
Willson Contreras (STL) vs. Kyle Freeland [GRADE: B+]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7-18 | .389 | .463 | .333 | 92.6 | 53.85% |
You’ll pay Coors prices like always. Also worth noting that Contreras is 0-10 against Freeland, so fading is an option, but the numbers are there.
TARGET MARKETS: TB (0.5-0.7u), HR (0.2u)
That’s all for today. Let’s go get some GREEN!