World Cup match-day brief — 2026-06-23

Results, today's fixtures with the model's read, and the golden-boot race. Educational analysis — no betting.

Yesterday's results

• New Zealand 1–3 Egypt (Matchday 11 · Group G)
• Argentina 2–0 Austria (Matchday 12 · Group J)
• France 3–0 Iraq (Matchday 12 · Group I)

Golden-boot race

1. Lionel Messi — Argentina · 5 goals
2. Kylian Mbappé — France · 4 goals
3. Erling Haaland — Norway · 4 goals
4. Deniz Undav — Germany · 3 goals
5. Jonathan David — Canada · 3 goals

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Today's fixtures & the model's read

• Norway vs Senegal — 00:00 UTC · New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)
  • Model: Norway 40% · draw 27% · Senegal 33%
• Jordan vs Algeria — 03:00 UTC · San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)
  • Model: Jordan 32% · draw 27% · Algeria 41%
• Portugal vs Uzbekistan — 17:00 UTC · Houston
  • Model: Portugal 46% · draw 27% · Uzbekistan 27%
• England vs Ghana — 20:00 UTC · Boston (Foxborough)
  • Model: England 61% · draw 25% · Ghana 14%
• Panama vs Croatia — 23:00 UTC · Toronto
  • Model: Panama 23% · draw 26% · Croatia 50%

Probabilities are statistical estimates — how the model works.

Tournament hub · Predictions · Read this on the web

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