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October 7, 2026

Bull trend intact: BTC holds above both averages despite…

Bull trend intact: BTC holds above both averages despite a sharp 24h drop.

BTC $83,738.4, -2.11% on the day. Regime: bull.
OddTick Wednesday, October 7

Bull trend intact: BTC holds above both averages despite a sharp 24h drop.

$83,738.4 -2.11% bull

Bitcoin sits in a confirmed bull regime, with the 20-day average (83,527.86) above the 50-day average (79,563.70), and price at 83,738.40 is still trading above both lines. That structure held even though the last 24 hours brought a sharp drawdown of about 2.1%, part of what headlines are framing as a flash crash; the 7-day change is essentially flat at +0.2%, so the pullback hasn't yet dented the medium-term trend. The 24-hour range ran from roughly 83,387 to 86,683, meaning today's low landed right near where price now sits. Zoomed out, BTC remains about 33.6% below its October all-time high and down roughly 32.6% over the past year, a reminder that 'bull' here describes trend direction, not distance from highs.

Funding on BTC is sitting essentially flat, barely positive, while ETH funding reads modestly negative — neither points to aggressive one-sided leverage building right now. Open interest on BTC is holding near 2,154, a current reading rather than evidence of a shift in positioning. Alt rotation sits negative at -2.08, consistent with capital staying closer to BTC rather than spreading into alts at the moment. As of this writing, the 30-minute order-flow snapshot shows a buy ratio of 45%, with whale sell volume (about $175.6k) outweighing whale buy volume (about $98.7k) across that window — a short-term reading that can flip within the hour and shouldn't be read as the day's character.

The level structure here is lopsided: the ceiling above price has been tested dozens of times and has repeatedly capped advances, making it the far more heavily worn boundary, while the floor below has seen noticeably fewer tests and remains comparatively lightly proven. Price is currently sitting closer to that floor than to the ceiling, inside a band of moderate width — not unusually tight, not blown wide open. Whether that band narrows or widens from here isn't something today's data can say; only that the floor hasn't broken and the ceiling hasn't given way.

BTC Snapshot
24-hour -2.11%
7-day +0.21%
20-day average $83,527.86
50-day average $79,563.7
Key Levels
Resistance
tested 53×
$84,588.51
Last price $83,738.4
Support
tested 14×
$83,379.64
Sentiment
Fear & Greed
71 a week ago
71 · Greed
24h range $83,387.3 – $86,683.4
What to take from it
• Bull regime holds: BTC trades above both its 20-day and 50-day averages despite a sharp 24h drop.
• Funding is near flat on BTC and modestly negative on ETH; open interest is steady, showing no extreme leverage skew.
• A 30-minute flow snapshot shows more whale sell volume than buy volume as of this writing — a moment-in-time reading, not a trend.
Headlines
Yahoo Finance
Why is Crypto Down? Bitcoin Lost $2,000 in A Flash Crash
Forbes
‘Opened The Floodgates’—BlackRock Confirms Huge Bitcoin ETF Price Game-Changer
CNBC
Trillions are being ‘wasted’ on the AI boom, Arthur Hayes says. He’s betting on what comes next
Barron's
Bitcoin, XRP, Other Cryptos Face Perfect Storm. Coinbase, Robinhood Stocks Fall.
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OddTick reports what the market is doing, measured by an automated system, for informational purposes only. It does not make trade recommendations, does not predict prices, and makes no claim that acting on this information is profitable. Nothing here is financial advice. Crypto assets are volatile — never trade money you can't afford to lose.

OddTick · Patrick Register · PO Box 472 · Christiansburg, VA 24068

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