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October 9, 2026

Bull trend holds, but BTC sits below its 20-day average…

Bull trend holds, but BTC sits below its 20-day average after a rough week of selling

BTC $82,446.1, +0.93% on the day. Regime: bull.
OddTick Friday, October 9

Bull trend holds, but BTC sits below its 20-day average after a rough week of selling

$82,446.1 +0.93% bull

Bitcoin is trading at 82,446, still in a bull regime with its 20-day average (83,230) above its 50-day average (79,740), confirming the broader uptrend is intact. Short-term price action tells a different story: BTC sits beneath its 20-day average and has shed 2.4% to 4.5% over the past week depending on the window measured, even as it's up roughly 0.9% on the day. The past week's range ran from the low-80s up near 87,000, and price has since pulled back into the lower half of that band. Sentiment has cooled alongside the price, with the Fear & Greed Index at 59 ('Greed'), down sharply from 72 a week ago.

Funding on both BTC and ETH is sitting close to flat, showing no strong directional lean in the derivatives market. Open interest reads 2,360 BTC, a current snapshot rather than a trend signal on its own. Alt rotation is reading negative, consistent with altcoins lagging bitcoin over this window. As of this writing, order flow over the last 30 minutes shows aggressive buying at about 41% of volume, with whale wallets registering more buy transactions by count but a larger dollar value on the sell side — a brief snapshot that can flip within the hour, not a standing condition.

The resistance band just above current price has been tested nearly twenty times and is clearly well-worn, while the support shelf below has been tested about half as often and looks comparatively less proven. Price is currently sitting close to that upper boundary rather than in the middle of the range. The intraday range has been noticeably tighter than the wider swing seen over the past week, suggesting the band may be compressing after last week's volatility, though with support less tested, how it holds under pressure remains uncertain.

BTC Snapshot
24-hour +0.93%
7-day -2.43%
20-day average $83,229.9
50-day average $79,739.88
Key Levels
Resistance
tested 19×
$82,531.39
Last price $82,446.1
Support
tested 9×
$81,994.83
Sentiment
Fear & Greed
72 a week ago
59 · Greed
24h range $80,328.6 – $82,713.4
What to take from it
• BTC remains in a bull regime (20-day average above 50-day) but is currently trading below its own 20-day average after a weekly pullback.
• Funding is flat on BTC and ETH, open interest reads 2,360 BTC, and alt rotation is negative — all current readings, not fixed conditions.
• Order flow in the last 30 minutes showed a majority-sell skew and net whale selling by dollar value, but this is a snapshot that can reverse quickly; the resistance above price is far more tested than the support below it.
Headlines
Yahoo Finance
Bitcoin Drops Below $81K, Triggering Nearly $1B Crypto Liquidation Wave: Crypto Stocks Fall With AI Infrastructure Plays
Yahoo Finance
Nearly 1 in 3 Bitcoin Is Sitting With Its Public Key Exposed, and the Number Keeps Growing
WSJ
Q&A: Bitcoin Funds Are Expanding. HANetf’s Co-CEO Explains Why
Forbes
Bitcoin Approaches $80,000 As Profit Taking And Macro Pressures Fuel Losses
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OddTick reports what the market is doing, measured by an automated system, for informational purposes only. It does not make trade recommendations, does not predict prices, and makes no claim that acting on this information is profitable. Nothing here is financial advice. Crypto assets are volatile — never trade money you can't afford to lose.

OddTick · Patrick Register · PO Box 472 · Christiansburg, VA 24068

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