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November 4, 2026

BTC sits under its 20/50-day averages, boxed in a narrow…

BTC sits under its 20/50-day averages, boxed in a narrow, heavily tested range.
BTC $77,500.5, +0.22% on the day. Regime: neutral.
OddTick Wednesday, November 4

BTC sits under its 20/50-day averages, boxed in a narrow, heavily tested range.

$77,500.5 +0.22% neutral

Bitcoin is trading in a neutral regime, with its 20-day and 50-day averages converging but both still sitting above the current price — a sign the recent downtrend has lost some momentum without reversing. Price is roughly flat on the day, up about 0.2% over 24 hours, but it's down close to 4.7% over the past week, 6.4% over two weeks, and over 10% for the month, leaving it about 38.6% below October's all-time high. The 24-hour range shows price near the top of that window, while the 7-day range shows it much closer to the week's low than its high, underscoring how much ground was lost before this stabilization. Sentiment has moved with the price action: the Fear & Greed Index reads 34 (Fear), down sharply from 51 a week ago.

Funding on both BTC and ETH is sitting essentially flat, near zero, which doesn't point to aggressive positioning on either side of the futures market right now. Open interest on BTC is holding at its current level without any sharp expansion or contraction visible in this reading alone. Alt rotation reads negative, consistent with alts lagging bitcoin rather than attracting fresh flow. As of this writing, order flow over the last 30 minutes was close to balanced, with buyers taking just over half of volume, and no whale buy or sell activity was recorded in that window — a snapshot that can flip within the hour and shouldn't be read as a standing condition.

Both the support and resistance levels bracketing current price are heavily worn, each tested over 30 times, which makes this one of the more thoroughly tested ranges BTC has sat in recently. Price is currently positioned closer to the resistance side of that band than the support side, though the gap to either boundary is narrow. The range itself has stayed tight through the session, with no clean break either direction yet, so whether it holds, tightens further, or finally gives way remains an open question rather than a settled one.

BTC Snapshot
24-hour +0.22%
7-day -4.66%
20-day average $79,554.84
50-day average $79,949.18
Key Levels
Resistance
tested 32×
$77,888.21
Last price $77,500.5
Support
tested 30×
$77,006.47
Sentiment
Fear & Greed
51 a week ago
34 · Fear
24h range $75,625 – $77,969.8
What to take from it
• BTC trades below both its 20-day and 50-day averages in a neutral (converging) regime, down roughly 4.7% for the week and over 10% for the month.
• Fear & Greed has dropped to 34 (Fear) from 51 a week ago, even as price is roughly flat on the day.
• Funding is near zero on BTC and ETH, and the last 30-minute order flow snapshot was close to balanced with no recorded whale activity — a reading that can shift quickly.
Headlines
WSJ
Bitcoin Miners Pivoted to AI—Only to Find It’s Just as Turbulent as Crypto
Yahoo Finance
Why Bitmine Immersion Technologies Stock Is In Focus After Its Ethereum Buying Spree
Yahoo Finance
Bitcoin vs Nvidia: $10,000 Invested 5 Years Ago, Which Is Worth More Now?
The Guardian
Hackers behind $6.3bn Binance heist ‘used malware and bogus job interviews’
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OddTick reports what the market is doing, measured by an automated system, for informational purposes only. It does not make trade recommendations, does not predict prices, and makes no claim that acting on this information is profitable. Nothing here is financial advice. Crypto assets are volatile — never trade money you can't afford to lose.

OddTick · Patrick Register · PO Box 472 · Christiansburg, VA 24068

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