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October 26, 2026

Bitcoin sits in a bull trend structure but price is…

Bitcoin sits in a bull trend structure but price is pinned below both its 20- and 50-day averages

BTC $80,233.3, +0.23% on the day. Regime: bull.
OddTick Monday, October 26

Bitcoin sits in a bull trend structure but price is pinned below both its 20- and 50-day averages

$80,233.3 +0.23% bull

Bitcoin trades at $80,233.30, essentially flat on the day (+0.23%) but down nearly 2% over the past week and roughly 4.4% over the past month. The 20-day average ($81,870.61) sits above the 50-day ($80,742.44), which keeps the regime classified as bull, yet price is currently trading underneath both lines — a sign of a trend that's intact on paper but stalling in practice. The 24-hour range was tight, running from about 79,265 to 80,837, well inside the wider 7-day range that stretched up near 84,840. Fear & Greed reads 50, neutral, down from 59 a week ago, consistent with a market cooling off rather than panicking.

Funding on both BTC and ETH is sitting right around zero, meaning there's no meaningful leverage skew pushing longs or shorts to pay up — positioning looks flat rather than crowded. Open interest on BTC is holding near recent levels, showing no sign of a fresh derivatives buildup. The alt rotation reading is negative, pointing to capital leaning toward BTC rather than flowing out into alts. As of this writing, the 30-minute order-flow snapshot shows aggressive sellers outpacing buyers (buy ratio under 40%), with two small whale sell trades and no whale buys recorded — a brief, narrow window, not a standing condition.

The resistance band just above current price has been tested over 30 times and has held each time, making it one of the more heavily worn ceilings in recent sessions. The support band below has only been tested a handful of times, so it's a much lighter, less proven floor. Price is currently sitting close to the well-tested ceiling rather than the floor, and the gap between the two has been narrowing compared to the wider swings seen over the past week — a sign the range is tightening rather than expanding.

BTC Snapshot
24-hour +0.23%
7-day -1.97%
20-day average $81,870.61
50-day average $80,742.44
Key Levels
Resistance
tested 34×
$80,316.05
Last price $80,233.3
Support
tested 6×
$79,733.5
Sentiment
Fear & Greed
59 a week ago
50 · Neutral
24h range $79,265 – $80,837.3
What to take from it
• BTC is flat on the day, down for the week and month, and trading below both its 20- and 50-day averages even though the longer-term trend structure is still classified bull.
• Funding on BTC and ETH is near zero with no strong leverage lean, open interest is steady, and alt rotation data points toward BTC rather than alts.
• The ceiling above price has been tested over 30 times and held; the floor below has barely been tested — and price sits closer to the well-worn ceiling as the range tightens.
Headlines
Yahoo Finance
Bitcoin pinned at $80.2k as oil, rate jitters dent crypto appetite
Yahoo Finance
Bitcoin Briefly Dips Below $80,000 as AI Worries Weigh on Asian Stocks Before the Fed Decides
Forbes
Bitcoin ‘Going To Zero’—Sudden Shock Flip Sparks Imminent Price Crash Fears
Al Jazeera
Netanyahu’s pitch: Can Israel use crypto to evade economic sanctions?
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OddTick reports what the market is doing, measured by an automated system, for informational purposes only. It does not make trade recommendations, does not predict prices, and makes no claim that acting on this information is profitable. Nothing here is financial advice. Crypto assets are volatile — never trade money you can't afford to lose.

OddTick · Patrick Register · PO Box 472 · Christiansburg, VA 24068

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