The Word "Mental" in Project 2025. (i)
The word “mental” appears 16 times in “Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise”, better known as Project 2025.
It first appears in the foreword on page 4, under the first promise to “restore the family as the centerpiece of American life and protect our children”:
Today, the American family is in crisis. Forty percent of all children are born to unmarried mothers, including more than 70 percent of black children. There is no government program that can replace the hole in a child’s soul cut out by the absence of a father. Fatherlessness is one of the principal sources of American poverty, crime, mental illness, teen suicide, substance abuse, rejection of the church, and high school dropouts. So many of the problems government programs are designed to solve—but can’t—are ultimately problems created by the crisis of marriage and the family. The world has never seen a thriving, healthy, free, and prosperous society where most children grow up without their married parents. If current trends continue, we are heading toward social implosion.
Let’s take a closer look at this with a critical eye:
Yes, according to the CDC, in 2022, about 40% of all children in the US were born to unmarried women. Let’s be charitable and assume that the author made a rounding error: Just under 70% of these “nonmarital births” occurred in Black women. For what reason did he highlight the percentage for Black women? The percentage for American Indian and Alaska Native women was about 68%. The second lowest percentage was among White women, which was just over 27%.
It is beyond the scope of my expertise to remark if fatherlessness is “one of the principal sources of American poverty, crime… rejection of the church, and high school dropouts”, but I can comment on “mental illness, teen suicide, [and] substance abuse”.
(A quick skim of data, though, shows that “Christian women in the U.S. are more religious than their male counterparts” and “women are more likely than men to say they attend worship services regularly”. From this data it seems that fathers are more likely to reject the church.)
This paper from 2013, The Causal Effects of Father Absence from the Annual Review of Sociology, tries to correct for flaws of past studies that tried to discern what happens to kids when their fathers are absent. From their work the authors conclude there is:
strong evidence that father absence negatively affects children’s social-emotional development, particularly by increasing externalizing behavior (where “externalizing behavior” means aggressive and attention-seeking behavior, in contrast to “internalizing behavior”, which manifests as anxiety and depression)
strong evidence that father absence increases adolescents’ risky behavior, such as smoking or early childbearing
[some suggestion] that the psychological harms of father absence experienced during childhood persist throughout the life course
Again, let’s be generous towards the author and assume that he equated “externalizing behavior”, “internalizing behavior”, and “risky behavior” to “mental illness[es]”. (Behaviors alone do not always constitute mental illnesses.) Yes, research supports the idea that an absent father results in behavioral problems in children. However, fatherlessness itself may not be a “principal source”. I could not find robust studies that examined any relationship between motherlessness and mental illness. (Single mothers are far more common than single fathers. Motherless children may exhibit these same worrisome behaviors.)
I am not able to find data that directly links absent fathers to teen suicides in the US. (There is a paper that describes “parental absence predicts suicide ideation through emotional disorders” in China, though this doesn’t focus solely on absent fathers. A paper from the US in 1998 concludes that “dramatic increase in youth suicide during the past three decades seems unlikely to be attributable to the increase in divorce rates”.) If there is an indirect linkage, it is likely mediated by other factors that led to the absence of the father.
While it is true that no governmental program can “replace the hole in a child’s soul cut by the absence of a father”, it is not only the absence of a father that cuts holes in children’s souls. No program, whether offered by the government or a church, can replace a missing father, mother, or other parental figure. Programs are not people. So let's talk about actual people.
Over two-thirds of children live with married parents. The nonmarital birthrate continues to decrease over time. Divorce rates are also decreasing. In light of these facts, that "fatherlessness" is actually decreasing, what “crisis of marriage and the family” and pending "social implosion" is the author talking about?
The authors of Project 2025 do not seem to recognize what the authors of “The Causal Effects of Father Absence” declare: “family disruption is not a random event and because the characteristics that cause father absence are likely to affect child well-being through other pathways.” (emphasis mine)
If they are concerned about “poverty, crime, mental illness, teen suicide, substance abuse, rejection of the church, and high school dropouts”, there are more fruitful ways to address these problems:
Reduce the likelihood that children experience adverse childhood events. People with fewer adverse childhood events are less likely to develop mental illnesses, like depression, and less likely to attempt or die by suicide. (Fathers can be sources of adverse childhood events. There is research that shows that youth with “harsher fathers” engaged in more offending behaviors and used more substances than youth with “absent fathers”. Sometimes, unfortunately, fatherlessness is the better option.)
Promote health equity. Improving physical environments where people live, work, and play improves mental health and well-being, as does access to education. People want to work and learn in healthful spaces. Reducing income equality also improves physical and mental health. People want enough money to live in safety and comfort. Ensure that people have easy access to health care when they need it, but, even better, create a healthy nation where people won't need to routinely see a doctor.
Promote social connections to reduce loneliness. People who are socially isolated are more likely to develop physical illnesses, such as heart disease and diabetes, as well as mental illnesses, such as anxiety and depression.
Note that these interventions require looking beyond the immediate family, and certainly beyond the presence or absence of a father. We live in communities. Because we all live in an interdependent networks, if the community is experiencing crisis, it will impact families. So why does Project 2025 instead put so much focus on the father?