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Tension Index
3.4
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Moderate
▼ -0.1 from previous
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Canada-China bilateral trade (November 2025)
$11.3B
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Imports
$7.3B
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Exports
$4.0B
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Briefing
The latest China-Canada relations briefing highlights a range of signals, with a focus on the evolving geopolitical landscape. The tension index remains moderate, indicating a relatively stable environment. However, several key developments warrant attention. Russia's foreign policy coordination with China is seen as a stabilizing force, a narrative that contrasts with Western perceptions. Meanwhile, The Diplomat's article suggests a shift in Canada's approach towards China, raising questions about its strategic calculations. On the military front, Xi Jinping's recent purges within the Central Military Commission have removed potential challenges to his authority, which may impact China's foreign policy decisions, especially regarding Taiwan. Additionally, Human Rights Watch's report on the erosion of the rules-based order by major powers underscores the need for a collective response from middle powers. Finally, China's ambassador to Australia has issued a threat over the Darwin Port lease review, testing diplomatic norms and highlighting the complexities of China's engagement with the region.
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Top Signals
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elevated
technology
Russia-China foreign policy coordination a stabilizing factor in global, regional affairs: Russian spokesperson
Russia-China foreign policy coordination serves as a stabilizing factor globally and regionally, according to...
Xinhua · 2026-02-05
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elevated
political
China’s Calculation and Canada’s Capitulation
Carney is trying to find an answer to his American problem by increasing Canada's engagement with China. He should...
The Diplomat
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elevated
military
Xi’s military purges will make him wary of invading Taiwan
Xi Jinping's recent military purges have removed two top figures from China's Central Military Commission (Zhang...
Lowy Institute
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elevated
technology
US, China and Russia erode the rules-based order, says Human Rights Watch
Human Rights Watch says the U.S., China, and Russia are working together to undermine the rules-based international...
Nikkei Asia
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elevated
technology
Unacceptable: Chinese ambassador threatens as Australia reviews Darwin Port lease
China’s ambassador Xiao Qian threatened retaliation over Australia reviewing its 99-year lease on Darwin Port,...
ASPI Strategist
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Market Snapshot
| Shanghai Composite |
4,102.20 |
▲ +0.85% |
| Shenzhen Component |
14,156.27 |
▲ +0.21% |
| Hang Seng |
26,847.32 |
▲ +0.05% |
| CSI 300 |
4,698.68 |
▲ +0.83% |
Currency Rates
| USD/CNY |
6.9410 |
▲ +0.0476% |
| CAD/CNY |
5.0784 |
▼ -0.1511% |
| USD/CAD |
1.3666 |
▲ +0.1958% |
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View Full Briefing →
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