November 30, 2022

November 2022 Updates: new posts & essays

Hi everyone,

New posts & essays since the last update:

• Oct 31: What is the alternative to utilitarianism?
  • "From my observations, people who try to take utilitarianism seriously have their brains break." (unexpectedly relevant to recent events)
• Nov 9: Forecasting humans becoming generally intelligent with biological anchors: year 10,000,000,000,002,022
  • Poking at the meaningfulness of the biological anchors method of estimating AGI timelines.
• Nov 11: Who is the real prophet of longtermism: Will MacAskill or Sam Altman?
  • Demonstrating the unexpected overlap in the ideas Sam Altman was professing in 2015 and EA longtermism circa 2022.
• Nov 16: Planes are still decades away from displacing most bird jobs
  • Demonstrating the absurdity of arguments about capabilities of AI by comparing them "everything humans can do".
  • 300+ poins and 100+ comments on Hacker News.
• Nov 21: If the moon doesn't need gravity, why do we? The necessity of understanding for general intelligence
  • Poking at the meaningfulness of claims that humans have accurate physical world-models and that they are central to general intelligence.

Thoughts & ideas always appreciated!

Cheers,
Alexey

P.S. Every post/essay I published in November has entire sentences/paragraphs/sections written by GPT-3. Let me know if you managed to find these parts.