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October 17, 2026

The $199.9 Million Injury Bill

Faithful,

Every fan base swears its team is the most injured in football. This week I stopped swearing and priced it.

The Rehab Quotient is the share of the salary cap a team spends on players who are out injured, charged game by game at 1/17 of each man's cap hit. Run over five seasons, the 49ers go 18.78% (2022), 7.25% (2023, the healthy outlier), 24.04% (2024), and 25.16% in 2025, $70.2 million, a quarter of the cap spent on rehab. Five-season total: $199.9 million. Nick Bosa tops the rehab leaderboard at $23.5 million for 20 missed games. Brandon Aiyuk's 2025 is the single biggest line item: $10.7 million, zero snaps.

The established metric disagrees with mine about which year was worst, and that fight is in the column too. So is the peg: Mike Evans' Achilles soreness, why I would sit him Monday, and what the number says about the Shanahan and Lynch build.

Read the Take: https://essential49ers.com/takes/2026-10-16-rehab-quotient.html?utm_source=route49&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=cap-injured

One note: the 2026 figure in the column is through five games. Week 6 locks Saturday off the final injury report, and the column will be updated.

Anthony

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