Bitcoin

$58,500

▼ -1.6%

S&P 500

7,442

+0.03% (open)

Crude Oil

$70.32

▼ -0.6%

Gold

$4,028

▼ -0.8%

Must Know Today

BTC opens ~$58.5K, still under $60K — monthly AND Q2 close lands today; a close here cements ~30% H1 loss

Spot BTC ETFs bled $4.06B in June — largest monthly outflow ever; BlackRock IBIT was ~73% of it

June jobs report moved to Thursday Jul 2 (114K est, 4.3% unemp) — strong print = Fed stays on hold, more BTC pressure

Fed held 3.50-3.75% on Jun 17; core PCE hit 3.4% (3-yr high) on Iran oil shock — no 2026 cuts priced

Watch this week

Monthly + quarterly close on BTC under $60K with record June ETF outflows ($4.06B). Until Thursday's June jobs print there's no near-term catalyst to reopen Fed-cut bets — a daily close under $58K opens the 2024 lows.