Bitcoin

$64,000

+0.6%

S&P 500

7,501

+1.1% (Thu close)

Crude Oil

$76.51

-0.6% (Fri close)

Gold

$4,160

-0.4%

Must Know Today

BTC reclaims ~$64K, bouncing off $62.2K lows after Israel-Lebanon strikes spooked risk

Fed held at 3.50–3.75% but dot plot flipped hawkish — 9 of 18 officials now see a 2026 HIKE

Spot BTC ETFs bleeding ~$5.4B over 4 weeks — worst stretch since early 2025

Hormuz back in focus — Iran claims closure, Vance says no evidence; WTI ~$76.5

Watch this week

Geopolitics is the swing factor — renewed Israel-Lebanon strikes and Hormuz closure claims can spike oil and hit risk assets fast. A hawkish Fed plus steady ETF outflows cap upside, and thin weekend liquidity means sharp wicks both ways.