Bitcoin

$62,884

+0.7% (24h)

S&P 500

7,483

closed — Jul 2 close

Crude Oil

$69

+0.1% (futures)

Gold

$4,189

+2% off lows

Must Know Today

BTC tapped $63K+ in thin July 4 trading — highest in over a month; now $62,884 off a $63,144 daily open

ETFs snapped a 10-day, $2.7B outflow streak — +$222M Thursday, but IBIT still bled $40M

CLARITY Act compromise text is public — Senate floor vote this month, passage odds ~45% on Polymarket

Fed held 3.50–3.75% with inflation at 4.2% — Warsh 'unanimous' on fighting it; hike risk into year-end

Watch this week

Thin weekend liquidity plus a CLARITY Act cloture count still short of 60 — a failed Senate vote could unwind BTC's reclaim of $62K fast. Monday's reopen is the first real test of whether ETF inflows stick.