Bitcoin

$61,850

+2.5%

S&P 500

7,483

Closed — July 4th

Crude Oil

$68.56

-0.2%

Gold

$4,180

+1.5%

Must Know Today

BTC reclaimed $61K after hitting 21-month lows under $58K — ETFs snapped a 10-day outflow streak with +$221.7M Thursday

June jobs badly missed: +57K vs 113K expected — July Fed hike odds drop to 20% from 30%

US stock markets CLOSED today for July 4th — crypto trades alone on thin holiday liquidity

More BTC now held at a loss than in profit (10.83M vs 9.22M) — first time this cycle, classic capitulation signal

Watch this week

Warsh’s Fed is ‘unanimous and unambiguous’ on fighting 4.2% inflation — one hot data print reprices July FOMC fast. Holiday-thinned weekend books raise the odds of exaggerated wicks on any headline.