Warm Bath Alternative to P-Value
Due to the strong overreliance on p-values in political reporting some Ukraine experts have argued that op-eds should be abandoned or banned, and that we...
The Precautionary Principle
(Kazimir Malevich, Sportsmen) The working group on mathematical modeling of the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus epidemic in Ukraine on May 28, 2020 announced during...
Cut Off All U.S. Assistance Immediately
There are no good reasons for hardworking American taxpayers to shore up the current regime in Kyiv. None. Ukraine’s president reminds us of someone who is...
Botched Assassination in Kyiv
Novopecherski Lipky has got to be one of the worst places in Kyiv, maybe in the whole of Europe, to assassinate your rival. The prestigious residential...
Unspecified Ukraine Worrying
No one who uses monotonic logics in ultra-competitive Ukraine-style politics is ever allowed to take something back. Once you’ve said something, that’s it....
Ukraine's Age of Stupidity
Can You Spot Harry? On May 21, one of Ukraine’s most watched programs, The Right to Power, aired on 1+1 TV. A half a dozen guests participated in the...
Morbidity Dynamics in Ukraine
This is an updated post from May 21, cf. Rudolph Carnap’s criterion of cognitive significance, w/ intro quote by William W. Rozenboom, St. Olaf College,...
Ze Faces Retaliation for Shit-Talking
Appealing to far-fetched scenarios with little to no detail or context and stating your conclusion can be, at best, unpersuasive and, at worst,...
What Makes Soup Soup?
What is Ukraine’s COVID-19 disaster, and how can we measure the spread of the virus correctly? These may seem like simple questions, but top Ukrainian...
Destroying Ukraine as Intended
It was a pathetic performance, one of Volodymyr Zelensky’s worst. There were few difficult questions during the hours-long ordeal, marked by long diatribes....
A Year of Bad Thinking
There is no theory of epistemology that prioritizes “truth over facts” in ultra-competitive Ukraine-style politics, unless we get metaphysical, eat a bunch...
Cataplectic Non-Cognitivism?
Another subtitle could have been A Year of Bad Thinking, but I’m saving that for after the press conference on Wednesday. As I noted the other day, it’s...
Embracing Change
Every subculture has a sort of blasé disdain for obvious beginner arguments even if they are solid points. Like how Ukraine experts are like oh you think us...
The Bright Side of Shame
(Clockwise from top left: Atlantic Council Deputy Director Melinda Haring, Atlantic Council Eurasia Center Senior Fellow Andrian Karatnycky, Atlantic Council...
Logic Isn't Normative
The common sense worship of lemmings must be resisted for the ideology-prone conservative laziness that it is. It’s analytic philosophy’s equivalent of the...
Kyiv Pandemic Update
U.S. Chargés d’affaires ad interim to Ukraine Kristina A. Kvien published a bizarre message on Facebook on Thursday, two days after Ukraine eased COVID-19...
Ze!Team's Replication Crisis
Reproducibility: The ability of a researcher to repeat their own work or the work of another researcher (replication) Almost all models, in fact, involve...
Нарисуй мне "плато"
Ukraine does not have a “downward trajectory of positive tests” or a “downward trajectory of documented cases” of coronavirus over two weeks, while...
Ugly Little COVID-19 Secrets
In an ideal world people with idiosyncratic ideas don’t get listened to, or they don’t get jobs. It’s not like anyone is banning them, but they’re just...
Magical Epidemic Thinking
Information from Ukraine’s Health Ministry about COVID-19 infections in conjunction with a neural network to determine the efficacy of quarantine measures is...
