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June 24, 2026

Ringside · Pre-Bell · June 24

Ringside · Pre-Bell — Wednesday, June 24, 2026

Ringside
Pre-BellWednesday, June 24, 2026
Top Three
  1. Whether the chip bounce sticks.
  2. Bank stress tests after the bell.
  3. PCE and the September question.

Indexes

The chip names that cracked on Tuesday are clawing back ground before the open. Nasdaq 100 futures point higher after a buyback pledge from Samsung and a US listing plan from SK Hynix steadied the group in Asia, where South Korea's Kospi jumped more than three percent a day after its near-ten-percent crash. Dow futures sit a touch lower, the reverse of Tuesday's session, when blue chips held while the semiconductors took the damage.

FuturesLastChgNote
ES (S&P 500)7,452.50+0.07%Indicated a shade higher
NQ (Nasdaq 100)29,824.00+0.27%Chips lead the bounce
YM (Dow)52,034.00-0.08%Blue chips ease back
RTY (Russell 2000)3,003.20+0.13%Small caps firm

Tuesday's cash session set the stage. A memory-chip scare out of Seoul knocked the Nasdaq 100 down more than three percent and the Composite past two, while the Dow held nearly even and the Russell 2000 slipped back beneath the 3,000 mark it had cleared for the first time a day earlier.

Tuesday closeLastChgNote
S&P 5007,365.46-1.44%Tech-led decline
Nasdaq Composite25,587.04-2.21%Chips led lower
Nasdaq 10029,347.27-3.29%Worst of the majors
Dow Jones51,666.84-0.09%Defensives offset tech
Russell 20002,975.48-0.96%Back under 3,000

Asia split along the lines of the news. Korea roared back as its chipmakers rallied, Tokyo eased after a strong run, and Europe opened on the back foot, with the German market giving up more than a percent.

GlobalLastChgNote
Kospi8,471.02+3.26%Chipmakers rebound
Nikkei 22569,174.97-1.09%Tokyo eases
Hang Seng23,412.18+0.33%Modestly higher
FTSE 10010,441.02-0.13%London steady
DAX24,653.97-1.13%Frankfurt softer
CAC 408,356.82-0.09%Paris near even
Euro Stoxx 506,218.58-0.42%Broad Europe lower

In the News

Samsung's record buyback. Samsung Electronics pledged a share repurchase worth 90 trillion won, the equivalent of $65 billion, while rival SK Hynix filed to list American depositary receipts on Nasdaq in an offering that could raise up to $29 billion. The twin moves steadied Korean technology shares overnight and sparked the rebound now reaching US chips, per Bloomberg and Korea's KED Global.
Bank stress tests land today. The Federal Reserve publishes its annual stress-test results for 32 large banks at 4 p.m. Eastern, measuring how they would hold up through a hypothetical slump with unemployment at 10% and home prices down 30%. This year's scores will not change capital requirements, which hold until 2027, the central bank has said.
Oil slides toward spring lows. Crude fell for a fourth straight day as Iranian barrels returned to the market under a US license that permits 60 days of sales, leaving West Texas Intermediate near $72 and Brent near $76, the weakest levels since March. Reuters reported steady flows continuing through the Strait of Hormuz.
September hike in play. Futures now imply roughly a 68% chance the Federal Reserve raises rates in September, up from under 30% a week ago, after new Chair Kevin Warsh's hawkish debut and a Bank of America call for three increases this year. The May inflation report on Thursday is the next test of that bet, per CNBC.
Lime heads for the public market. Lime, the Uber-backed electric-bike and scooter operator, is seeking a valuation of as much as $1.66 billion in a Nasdaq listing priced at $24 to $26 a share, an early gauge of whether investors will reach for new offerings after a thin stretch, per CNBC.

Drivers

1. Whether the chip bounce sticks. The rebound in memory and AI-silicon names rests on a single overnight catalyst out of Korea, and it runs straight into the one report that can confirm or deny it: Micron after the close. A reassuring read on memory pricing would turn Tuesday's scare into a buying opportunity, while any hint that supply is catching up to demand would hand the sellers their case. With options pricing a double-digit move, the report sets the tone for the whole group, not one stock. Was Tuesday's drop an overreaction, or the opening move in a broader unwind of the year's biggest winners?

2. Bank stress tests after the bell. The Federal Reserve's results for 32 large lenders arrive at 4 p.m. Eastern, and while the Fed has said this year's scores will not change capital requirements, strong marks would clear the way for the dividend and buyback announcements that usually follow within days. Financials have quietly outperformed through the tech wobble, so the group goes in with the wind at its back.

3. PCE and the September question. Thursday delivers the first inflation read since policy turned hawkish under Kevin Warsh, and with futures now leaning toward a September increase, traders have positioned for a firm number. That makes a cool print the real surprise risk, since it would land on a market set up for the opposite.

S&P 500 SPY daily chart
S&P 500 ETF (SPY), daily: Tuesday's 1.4% drop slipped under the 20-day but held the rising 50-day.
Nasdaq 100 QQQ daily chart
QQQ (Nasdaq 100), daily: a sharp break of the 20- and 50-day on Tuesday, with premarket trade trying to steady.
Semiconductor ETF SMH daily chart
Chip ETF (SMH), daily: the group rebounding after Tuesday's memory-driven flush.
FedEx FDX daily chart
FedEx (FDX), daily: marked sharply lower premarket after a soft fiscal 2027 outlook.
Newmont NEM daily chart
Newmont (NEM), daily: pressured as bullion prints a seven-month low.

Rates, FX, Commodities

Treasury yields sit close to Tuesday's closing levels ahead of Thursday's inflation report, and the dollar has firmed a touch. The action is in commodities: crude keeps sliding as Iranian supply returns, while gold has slipped beneath $4,100 to a seven-month low under the weight of a harder Fed line and a stronger greenback.

Rates / VolLevelChgNote
VIX19.13-1.80%Easing as the bounce takes hold
2-Year4.21%—Near a cycle high
10-Year4.49%—Mid the 4.20%-4.55% band
30-Year4.94%—Long end steady
2s10s+28 bp—Modestly positive curve
DXY101.68+0.22%Firmer again

Crude has surrendered nearly all of the premium that the spring conflict in the Middle East put into the barrel, and copper's pullback echoes the growth worry that ran through Tuesday's chip selling. Every commodity quote below was refreshed this morning rather than held over from the Tuesday settle.

CommoditiesLevelChgNote
WTI Crude$71.77-1.81%Iran supply returning
Brent Crude$75.55-1.76%Tracks WTI lower
Gold$4,078.70-1.17%Seven-month low
Natural Gas$3.22+0.78%Firmer
Copper$6.07-0.91%Growth-risk signal

Technicals

Tuesday's selloff left the indexes with their first floor not far below. The S&P 500 settled at 7,365.46, beneath the 20-day line up at 7,470 yet holding some fifty points clear of the rising 50-day at 7,316, the level that would have to break before the early-June breakout is back in doubt. The Nasdaq 100 took the deeper damage, losing both its 20- and 50-day moving averages on Tuesday and finishing near the base of its month-long range. The ten-year yield at 4.49% holds the middle of its recent 4.20%-to-4.55% corridor; a decisive move above 4.55% would carry it to the spring's peak and begin to press on equities. The morning's sharpest individual story is Micron, which heads into tonight's report sitting below the averages it gave up on Tuesday; its hourly chart is below.

Micron hourly chart
Micron (MU), hourly: a premarket bounce off Tuesday's lows, with the report due after the close.

Breakouts & Breakdowns

Breakouts

Walmart (WMT): Tuesday's flight to safety carried it to $119.42, just under the $120 ceiling that has capped the stock since spring; a clean push through would mark a record for the retailer.

Marvell (MRVL): out front in the chip rebound, climbing toward the 20-day near $290 it lost on Tuesday; reclaiming that average would argue the scare was a one-session affair.

Breakdowns

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD): Tuesday's rout cost it both the 20- and 50-day averages, and the premarket bounce to near $526 still leaves it underneath them; the May base near $500 is the next floor down.

Nvidia (NVDA): the group's leader is parked on the $200 mark it closed at Tuesday; hold it and the uptrend stays intact, lose it and the 50-day near $190 comes into view.

Top Movers

The pattern reverses Tuesday's. The hardest-hit chip names are leading the bounce, while the defensives that absorbed Tuesday's flight to safety give a little back.

Gainers

Micron (MU) is up about 3.5% to near $1,089 in premarket trade, leading the chip rebound on the day it reports fiscal third-quarter results after the close. The overnight spark came from Korea, where Samsung's buyback pledge and SK Hynix's US listing plan eased the memory-pricing fear that wiped 13% off the stock on Tuesday. Analysts polled by FactSet look for earnings near $20.83 a share on revenue close to $35.75 billion, and the options market is pricing a move of roughly 17% once the report lands. What management says about high-bandwidth memory demand on the call is what the wider group will trade on.

Qualcomm (QCOM) is up about 2% near $208, joining the broad recovery in chip shares after Tuesday's indiscriminate selling. Intel (INTC) is higher by a similar margin near $135, while Nvidia (NVDA) firmed even though it never reports memory pricing of its own.

Losers

FedEx (FDX) is down about 7% near $294, sliding the morning after its fiscal fourth-quarter report, its first quarterly numbers as an independent parcel business since spinning off the freight unit on June 1. The quarter itself beat, with adjusted earnings of $6.31 against the $5.96 estimate and revenue of $25.0 billion, but management's fiscal 2027 guidance of $16.90 to $18.10 a share pointed to slower growth ahead, and the stock is being marked down for it. The reaction sets a cautious tone for the industrials heading into a quieter stretch of the calendar.

Newmont (NEM) trades more than 2% lower near $95, dragged by gold's drop to a seven-month low, the metal's slide leaving the miners without their usual cushion.

The defensives cool. Johnson & Johnson, Procter & Gamble and Merck, among the consumer and health-care names that drew Tuesday's flight to safety, each eased a few tenths as money rotated back toward risk.

Macro Calendar

Today's calendar finally carries some weight before the week's defining inflation print. The May count of new-home sales is due at 10 a.m. Eastern, where economists expect a modest bounce off April's soft 622,000 annual pace, a corner of the economy still pinned by stubborn mortgage rates. The larger Fed event lands after the close with the stress-test release. Most of the week's risk, though, rides on Thursday's May PCE deflator, the inflation yardstick the Fed weighs most, seen rising 0.5% on the month with a yearly core rate around 3.4%. With hike odds already repriced, a downside surprise there would rattle the market far more than the firm reading it expects.

This sessionConsensusNote
MBA mortgage applications—Weekly, rate-sensitive
New home sales (May)≈635Kvs April's 622K
Fed bank stress tests4 p.m. ET32 large lenders
PCE, m/m (Thu)+0.5%The week's main event

Earnings Today

The reporting calendar runs light but front-loads the week's headline name into tonight.

Before the open: Paychex (PAYX) closes its fiscal year with fourth-quarter results, a read on small-business hiring and wage trends through the spring.

After the close: Micron (MU) is the session's marquee report, covered above, with its read on memory pricing set to move the entire chip group. Jefferies (JEF) also reports, an early look at investment-banking and trading activity ahead of the big banks next month.

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